The idea is to help predict regionwise outbreaks of a disease and follow the impact of social and logistical measures. Overloaded hospitals predicted by the simulation can be studied in order to adapt the response to the crisis.
The healthcare system and authorities deciding on the epidemy management.
Being two students in life science engineering and feeling involved against the current crisis, we would like to combine our immunologic and programming knowledge to help manage the response. We wouldn't mind the help of an epidemiologist and someone involved in healthcare ressources management.
Until now the simulation runs with 500 points (groups of people) following the SIR (susceptible-immune-removed) model for contagion. Four different infectious stages are modelled and a parameter of susceptibility towards the infection has been implemented. Two different kind of hospitals exist: overloaded and not. Different regions are created and infected people will be treated in hospitals of the regions but some people might travel between the regions.
Fragen an die Community
We might need some data to have a better fit for the probabilities of the disease's spread. A closer contact with people in charge of pandemy management would also be of a great help.